Past Event: ELLMM City: Alex Meehan (Yale)

The talk will be virtual for members of the Yale Community.

The title of the talk is "A framework for non-fundamental chance."

Abstract:
Many authors have sought to make sense of special science probabilities as objective. An appeal of this approach is that it could provide a straightforward realist account of the success of chance models in actual science. But the view faces several challenges and questions, including (1) what unites these various special science probabilities as objective chances?, and (2) how autonomous are they from the fundamental dynamical chances?. In this talk I propose a general framework for theorizing about chance that lets us make some headway on questions (1) and (2), without presuming a special metaphysical or physical commitment like the Humean Best Systems Analysis. A key ingredient of the framework is the Parent Principle, which reduces to the Principal Principle and New Principle in relevant special cases, and induces coherence constraints between chances at different levels.